Vendredi 11 mars 2011 5 11 /03 /Mars /2011 09:52

The situation in Madison and, more generally, in Wisconsin, is henceforth more a model than a test; a model of what could and should arrive in the other States of the Union (Nebraska, Ohio, Indiana, Michigan, etc.) subjected to the same conditions (a republican governor, radical laws against the public spending and the public services, very strong mobilization, radical and pugnacious, against these laws), - more that a test the out exit of which would determine and would end a local battle in the standards of the law. The situation presents the model of insoluble conflict by ways of legal compromise, enters an authority elected with a legal majority and a population which we can consider majority and which shows itself mobilized and ready for radical actions, with the support, voluntary or forced, of powerful political and labor-union structures.

For the protesters, the action of governor Walker making vote for his law from legal requirements looking like an operation of manipulation in spite of the absence of quorum due to the absence of the democratic opposition to the Senate of the State is similar to "coup d'état". The answer is immediately organized under the shape of a very intense mobilization, which looks like more the preparation of a new battle on a new ground, much more explosive than what preceded, that in a last-ditch struggle.

The most moderate, in the structures of the democrat party, intend to accelerate procedures of cancellation of very controversial elections of at least six republican senators of the State. A reversal of the result in these elections, very likely in the current climate, would change the balance in the Senate of the State and would return the application of the almost impossible voted law; we imagine easily which conditions of tension, and which confrontations, should create of such continuation.

It is difficult to think that the action of governor Walker and the vigor of the reactions which followed, starting so many diverse associations as "basic protester", while legal battles announce, that we speak actively about a general strike, that the same general battle gets ready in the other States, - it is difficult to think that all this can result in a reassurance or a compromise. Both parties too much took refuge in radical positions and extremists; too many contradictory interests are at stake, too many unverifiable groups and activists are involved, too many poignant situations and furious resolution in the population exist, too much publicity was made on this tension and the stake in cause, so that this crisis calms down of itself, according to the legal procedures of the System which protect its own stability, as it is the habit in the USA.

Suddenly, it seems that this quarrel constitutes as the ground, the ideal battlefield of the general tension which does not stop tearing more cruelly two "camps" in outlines badly defined, in the purposes badly enlightened, with the characters badly specified, which have for peculiarity only to express an antagonism, an internal hatred in the USA of a vigor which has not enough precedent, an irrational power which seems to us without possible return.

Wisconsin, represents what is this crisis itself certainly, that is a confrontation between two visions fundamentally different from situations and from social relationships; but it is extremely unexpected, and just as much significant, than the quarrel so becomes inflamed in spite of the fact that we judged to be as an indestructible cement, which is the Americanism with all its skillful and insinuating mechanisms to suppress the popular expression; what leads to think that the crisis of Madison, Wisconsin, it is the expression of something which is much more than the crisis of Madison, Wisconsin, that it is the expression of the fundamental report of the progressive disintegration, the latent explosion of this monstrous artifact of power that are the USA, that is the heart and the engine of the System.

There have been already situations which reminded this dynamic and symbolic representation of the fundamental dissension in the USA; nobody gathered the  conditions, the character, the climate and especially the psychology which would make it "perfect storm" which would affect America itself after the practices of the Americanism activated this hurricane in so many foreign territories. Then, the hurricane relieved by Madison, Wisconsin, could make cross the stage of the "progressive disintegration" to that of the hasty and explosive disintegration …

There is in these impressive events of power, rhythm and speed, number of characters to remind that is effectively begun the last route of the final Fall of the System.

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Vendredi 4 mars 2011 5 04 /03 /Mars /2011 14:47

Turkey holds an exceptional place in the Libyan crisis, as in the general crisis, which shakes the Arab-Moslem countries.

This country takes advantage of its also exceptional position, at once outside and inside with regard to the Arab-Moslem countries of the Middle East, its recent evolution which makes it a reference of a possible general evolution in the region, an internal formula of this evolution which passes by a political integration of the Islamist factor, and outside which involves a major diversification of its relations and its alliances.  Turkey considers the current events and the political evolution which they imply as a kind of popular legitimization of the Turkish evolution since the coming to power of the Erdogan’s team  and the fundamental change which followed itself towards a position of autonomy.

Turkey plays a major role in the Libyan crisis, by supporting the efforts of Arab countries to prevent, or contain a foreign intervention (not Arabic, not Moslem) in Libya. There was a declaration of the Prime Minister Erdogan. There are also the explanations of his foreign secretary Ahmet Davutoglu. The Minister reaffirmed with strength that Turkey was hostile to any outside intervention in Libya, understanding by "outside", essentially, a non-Arabic and non-Moslem intervention.

This appreciation bottom in the wider appreciation of the current events in the Middle East, which Ahmet Davutoglu judges that it corresponds by no means to the project of democratization of the Bush administration involving the democratization forced by the countries of the Middle East, under US and Israeli control, but on the contrary turns out to be a process of autonomous liberation, possibly democratization, completely internal and according to its own terms. (Hürriyet Daily News of March 2nd, 2011).

It seems that we have to attach a very particular and specific attention on the links between Turkey and Egypt, as establishing constituting the new fundamental strategic axis of the region; axis which has geographically the peculiarity to frame Israel, which has politically the peculiarity to represent an evolution of two powerful Moslem countries completely subjected in past in the USA and representative of the essential strategic anchorings for the USA, and these two crossing countries, or seeming to be supposed to be for Egypt, towards a position of independence towards the USA. All this has, naturally a powerful link with the general situation of the region, its balance, its orientation, but also with the most fundamental projects of the imperialist fraction of Israel.

The analyst Eric Walberg, who collaborates in particular to Al-Ahram Weekly, publishes on February 25th, 2011, in Intrepid Report, an appreciation of the joint evolution of Egypt and Turkey, until these two countries form effectively an alliance(with the other less important countries appointing to them, as Syria and Lebanon) which will have for main objective to counter radically the projects of Israeli hegemony in the region. Walberg details the diverse dynamics of the Israeli conceptions, and the way the current process which moves closer to Egypt and Turkey puts all this in defeat and turns the Israeli plan against Israel. The fact that Walberg publishes in Al-Ahram Weekly, and that he develops this thesis, would seem to show that the Egyptians are not hostile, at least in this kind of interpretation.

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Samedi 26 février 2011 6 26 /02 /Fév /2011 18:57

Which miracle method does the International Monetary Fund wants to use to reduce the commercial deficits of the United States while rebalancing the world economy?

The IMF suggests, in a note to Ministers of Finance of the G20 published last Wednesday, depreciating the dollar. The IMF indeed considers that the exchange rate of the dollar is rather overvalued, those of the euro and the being yen " globally corresponding " in fundamental economic, several currencies of Asian emerging countries being besides "underestimated".

Arguments that lead it to suggest in G20 allowing to envisage an action on the dollar. A new effective depreciation of the exchange rate of the dollar would contribute to a long-sustainable decline of the deficit of the current accounts of the United States towards a level more in accordance with fundamental middle term. The risks of slowing down remain raised in the developed countries, whereas the risks of overheating increase in the emerging nations.

Last week, Brazilian Minister of Finance, Guido Mantega recognized to have announced to Timothy Geithner, during his recent visit of his anxieties on the depreciation of the dollar and the other Asian currencies, this situation destabilizing the international trade.

Brazil suffers from too big strength of the real, which appreciated of more than 100 % during the last years. 

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Vendredi 25 février 2011 5 25 /02 /Fév /2011 14:16

The events of Wisconsin develop in a organized and particularly impressive way in their effects. After a week of protests, demonstrations and diverse actions, the capital of Wisconsin, Madison, became the center bubbling with an American national crisis. For Noam Chomsky, it is  a democratic uprising, the revolt for which we waited in the USA.

On Friday, February 17th, the democratic members of the Senate of the State had left Wisconsin for joining Ohio, outside the jurisdiction of their State, creating by their absence an impossibility to reach the quorum for a vote (planned on this February 17th) of the law of governor Walker restricting very strongly the public spending and questioning the existence of the labor unions of public utilities; these members of parliament announced that they would stay " in exile " in Ohio, always for the same reason of the blocking of the vote, as long as governor Walker would not give up, - while Walker reaffirmed on Sunday that he would not give up. On Saturday, the demonstration daily for 5 days in Madison, gathered an impressive crowd of more than 70.000 persons. The intention of the protesters of Madison is to occupy and "to hold" the Capitol, in the way that the natives of Cairo "held"the Al Tihrir Square, with the aim of preventing the functioning of the "government" of governor Walker and paralyzing the State of Wisconsin.

Various aspects of the crisis are reviewed here, to explain some of the characters.

A long text of Rose Aguilar, AlterNet.org, of February 17th, 2011, makes a complete narrative of the events of Madison, Wisconsin. The title of the article places the climate: "Is Wisconsin Our Egypt? ", joining the analogy which we bring to light besides …

Christopher Fons, for CounterPunch, brings to light, on February 19th, 2011, the character of spontaneous organization and solidarity of the demonstrators and the activists of Madison. It is for example remarkable that the local police, which is not got by the limitations, set made and talks for the protesters.

The site Crooks and Liars puts on-line, on February 18th, 2011, a video tape with the interview of Chris Hayes, The Nation, and Naomi Klein, also The Nation and author of excellent Strategy of the shock, on the functioning of the postmodern hyper-capitalism.

May the crisis of Madison taking a "national" extension? Already, there are signs in this direction. The inhabitants of the State of Ohio begin to show the first signs of an anger similar to that of the inhabitants of the Wisconsin. On the other hand, Madison becomes a national assembly point, as in that case of the member of parliament Diane Russell, Maine, which goes in Wisconsin to proclaim its solidarity with the protesters.

There is a long article of Politico.com (February 18th, 2011 ) concerning the attitude of Obama in this crisis. Obama supports labor unions against governor Walker, but only for certain aspects of the concerned law. The whole is the object of learned calculations of his team to know the place which will hold Wisconsin in the election campaign of 2012 … No moose(run-up), any sort of sign which could persuade that there is at Obama the other thing than a politician making the accounts of grocer, - in perfect man of the System.

It is also necessary to read the analysis with numerous references which makes ThinkProgress.com in its Progress Report of February 17th, 2011 on " the radical right ". In direct relationship with the situation in Wisconsin, the report examines the policies being implemented by radical republican governors in a certain number of State of the Union. If it makes the too beautiful part in the attitude of Obama (ThinkProgreess.com, of progressive trend, remains favorable to Obama in spite of the disappointments imposed by its policy) on the US progressive left, the report gives an excellent outline of the explosive potential of this situation, with the first explosion already realized in Madison.

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Vendredi 25 février 2011 5 25 /02 /Fév /2011 14:16

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